The Black Swan (Paperback)
- The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan af Nassim Nicholas Taleb, ISBN 9780141034591

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Forfatter: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Sprog:	Engelsk
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Andre udgaver	Pris
The Black Swan (Hardback)	DKK 157,96
The Black Swan (Paperback, 2. udgave)	DKK 149,95
The Black Swan (Hardback)	DKK 231,68

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Beskrivelser af The Black Swan

Forlagets beskrivelse: What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty. Illustrations
Bibliotekernes beskrivelse: What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.